CH362 · Rewrite
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Chapter 362: Predicament

At the pier, more than a dozen sailships stood in column, their masts and interlaced rigging draped with snow until they looked like threads of hammered silver against the grey river sky. Refugees streamed from the cabins and moved toward the open ground fronting the quay.

Border Town had done this before. The procedure had acquired its own rhythm. Four runs of iron fencing divided the crowd into two orderly channels, controlling the flow and preventing the kind of surging panic that could kill people before they’d taken ten steps on dry land. Policemen with batons walked both sides. Anyone who tried to climb the fencing or shove their way forward was beaten back. But alongside the enforcement came food — a hot bowl of gruel waited at the end of the passageway. Fill their stomachs first. A person who had eaten was a person whose fear had somewhere to go.

This time, alongside the policemen and the First Army soldiers and the City Hall officials, Nightingale and Sylvie had taken positions in the crowd. Pills and snow powder, Timothy’s instruments for seeding the refugee flow with dependencies and debt, had nowhere to hide from the Eye of Magic.

Roland turned from the crowd. “Thank you for what you’ve done for the Western Region. Without your fleet, these people would have wintered in the slums of other cities.”

“You were unusually urgent in your letter.” Margaret smiled. “Naturally I had to do my best. Still — many of my sailors refused to sail in the snow. I could only get thirteen ships together.”

“Better thirteen than none.” He exhaled a breath that whitened in the cold. After learning that large numbers of refugees remained stranded in Silver City, Redwater City, and Willow Town, he had sent to Margaret’s Chamber of Commerce, requesting a fleet. Thirteen was smaller than he had hoped. But with two additional round trips per ship, all the stranded could be moved. At a hundred passengers per ship per crossing, with two weeks per round trip, the roughly three thousand remaining refugees could be transported in about a month and a half. The last return journey would need to carry food and winter clothing as well — the gold royals sent with the small First Army escort would not last the full duration, and he would not have these people board ships carrying hope and arrive to nothing.

The math on Margaret’s side was unfavorable. Lightning had helped her calculate the full cost, and it had come out at twice the normal daily rate — a transaction that, measured against the goods being moved, made no commercial sense. The transport cost alone exceeded the market value of a comparable number of able-bodied slaves. Margaret had said so plainly, with the mild curiosity of a woman who found irrationality interesting rather than alarming.

Roland had been equally plain about not caring.

From the moment these refugees stepped aboard alongside his delegation, they were subjects of the Western Region. His obligation to them was not negotiable. And beyond obligation, the calculation was obvious: educated, employed, these people would generate wealth that no slave-price reckoning could capture. The refugees were not a cost to be minimized. They were an investment with a long return horizon.


Back in the castle’s reception room, Roland ordered the kitchen to prepare a pottage for Margaret. She took the bowl, lifted a spoonful, and sniffed carefully.

“There’s White Liquor in this.”

“There is. Also pepper, honey, and a chicken broth base.” He smiled. “Spirits are reliable against the cold. Heated into a broth, even better. The other seasonings cover the harshness and add body — even someone who rarely drinks won’t mind it.”

Margaret ate slowly, with visible appreciation, and finished with a satisfied sound. “Every time I come to this place, I find myself wondering what novelty you’ll have this time.” She set the bowl down. “A pity that next year I probably won’t be able to visit.”

Roland caught the thread immediately. “A trade matter?”

She nodded. “Timothy has decreed a ban on saltpeter trade. Not just to King’s City — Silver City and Redwater City as well. Only the Alchemist Workshop gets supply, at reduced price. The nobility in those cities are the only other buyers.”

He said nothing. She continued.

“There’s more. A source in the City Hall tells me Timothy is planning a full blockade of the Western Region. Not only saltpeter — merchants as well. The frontier at Redwater City. When it takes effect, Border Town, Longsong Stronghold, and Willow Town will all be cut off. Many nobles have objected, but it’s unlikely Timothy will relent.” She shook her head. “From next year onward, I won’t be able to bring saltpeter or ingots here. The steam engine trade would almost certainly stop as well.”

I pushed him too far. Roland turned the situation over methodically. Before completing the centralization of authority, interfering aggressively in another lord’s trade always risked this reaction — the local lords and nobles who depended on the trade would resist any enforcement, and Timothy would spend a year fighting his own people to maintain a blockade that did him limited strategic good. The policy was an overreach. Give it a year and a half and it would fail on its own.

But that was a year and a half.

Saltpeter was foundational to large-scale acid production, and until the synthetic ammonia problem was solved, nothing replaced it. Cut the supply, and the 152 mm artillery became inert. The new repeating rifles’ reload ammunition production would stall.

The steam engine trade was worse.

Border Town’s finances ran on a tight circuit. A portion of revenue went into infrastructure and employment. The rest cycled through pay to townspeople and recollected through the sale of food, goods, and housing — a system that required a continuous inflow of gold royals from outside the circuit, not less than what the subjects themselves produced. The town was still in primitive accumulation mode, with no credit instruments. If the steam engine revenue disappeared, the inflow would fall below the threshold, pay would go unissued, and the entire economic structure would seize.

An interruption in funds was not a problem to be managed later. It was a terminal condition.

He spread his hands across the table and looked at them for a moment.

“This won’t last long,” he said. “I believe you’ll be able to visit again soon — and when you do, it won’t be a town you’re coming to.” He let himself smile. “After the Months of the Demons, I intend to build a city here.”

Margaret’s expression shifted slightly — the careful attention of someone recalculating. “You’re serious.”

“I am. And one more thing — I’m planning a direct shipping route from the Western Region to the Fjord Islands. Not through Seawindshire or Port of Clearwater. A route that goes straight out from here.” He met her eyes. “Are you interested?”

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